Everyone’s circumstances are unique but for most people entering their 60s thoughts gravitate towards spending less time working and more time living.

This article looks at this age bracket and how different age-related circumstances can alter your investment choices.

Assuming average health and decent genes a women aged 60 today can expect to live to 87 years of age according to the Office for National Statistics. However, the average says nothing about the spectrum of possibilities.

There is a 25% chance (one in four) of reaching 94 years and just under a one in 20 chance of getting a birthday card from the King at the grand old age of 100.

For men average life expectancy is 84 years with a 25% chance of reaching 92 years and a one in 30 chance of living to 100 years. In other words, at age 60 men can expect to live a further 24 years and women a further 27 years on average.

Six decades ago, average life expectancy for men was 69 and for women 74 which means men are now living an extra 15 years and women an extra 13 years. This represents both good and bad news. It is great that people are living longer but it also implies a bigger savings pot might be needed to prevent people running out of money in retirement.

Back in 1963, an average man would typically survive four years after retiring (retirement age was 65) which is too short to consider investing in shares. Today, those considering retiring in their 60s have a much longer runway which means they can opt to maintain exposure to shares; assuming they enter drawdown rather than buying an annuity to get a guaranteed income for life.

Seeking capital growth makes a lot of sense for investors in this age cohort. That said, it is understandable why some investors may wish to dial down their risk appetite, especially if they consider they have already built up adequate capital. Life circumstances are so varied it is impossible to run through all scenarios. But here are a few considerations.

HIGHER MEDICAL COSTS

Ageing brings the increased likelihood of having to fork out to pay for medical treatments and possibly care costs further into the future. At age 60, a case can be made for increasing the portfolio weighting towards bonds and cash at the expense of shares because the timing of medical costs cannot be known with any confidence.

But a case can also be made, assuming decent health, for maintaining the prior weighting in shares to continue growing the amount of money in your retirement pot – providing more financial flexibility.

There are similarities with investing to cover university fees which are not needed immediately but years down the line. And remember, not all the expenses need to be drawn down at the start but can be phased as required. Therefore, unless there is an immediate need to cover medical costs, a contingency plan could include investing in shares as well as bonds and cash.

DESIRE FOR MORE STABLE GROWTH

Another reality of growing old is that attitudes change and people become more risk averse. While a 25-year-old may find it thrilling to ride the ups and downs of investing in cutting-edge industries like artificial intelligence and autonomous cars, a 60-year-old may prefer a slower but steadier growth trajectory.

For some people a phased retirement plan may be preferable which allows them to keep working but putting in fewer hours. In this situation rather than increasing bond exposure, it makes more sense to tilt existing stock market exposure towards stable income-paying shares.

It has the added benefit of removing the stress which comes with owning high growth shares which tend to be more volatile as can be seen in the chart comparing Apple (APPL:NASDAQ) and Tesla (TSLA:NASDAQ). 

One strategy is to focus on high quality companies which tend to throw off lots of cash, often more than is needed to grow earnings. These companies can be rewarding as often dividends increase at a faster pace than earnings.

This is an important consideration when inflation is elevated as it is today. They also possess strong balance sheets which means they are unlikely to go out of business anytime soon.

One final thing to consider is the economic backdrop which has changed significantly since the end of the pandemic. Sticky inflation is forcing central banks to ratchet up interest rates to levels not seen in decades.

Asset manager Guinness Global Investors points out the combination is reminiscent of prior periods of sluggish growth and sticky inflation such as the 1940s and 60s. During these decades dividends accounted for over 75% of the total returns of the S&P 500.

The ideas outlined below are intended to give you a starting point, though you would want a balanced and diversified portfolio made up of several holdings to sustain you through retirement.

TOP FUND PICK

Guinness Global Equity Income 

(FUND: BVYPNY2) £23.32

This fund is a great choice for investors looking for sustainable income and capital growth as it provides diversified access to some of the best quality companies across the globe.

This fund is focused on companies which can sustainably grow their dividend rather than ones with a high yield. Fund managers Ian Mortimer and Matthew Page have steered the fund since launch in 2010 and have built an impressive track record.

The fund has delivered a compound annual growth rate of 13.2%, 10.8% and 11.3% over the last three, five and 10 years respectively, easily beating the Morningstar Global Equity Income benchmark.

The managers start by identifying companies which have consistently achieved a return on capital greater than 10% in each year of the last decade.

This tends to screen out highly cyclical businesses with volatile earnings. It is a tough threshold and only 3% of global listed companies pass the test. The resulting pool is scrutinised to assess those companies with the best potential for delivering sustained dividend growth.

The fund is comprised of 35 names equally weighted with the aim of creating a well-diversified portfolio with a reasonable dividend yield (2.3% historic) and a growing income stream at an attractive relative valuation to the market.

The team have a disciplined sell process which weeds out companies which fail to meet several criteria including a stretched valuation and a worsening dividend outlook. The fund has an ongoing charge of 0.81% a year. Other costs to consider are platform custody and dealing charges and the fund manager’s transaction charges.

STEADY GROWERS WITH SUSTAINABLE DIVIDENDS

Using Stockopedia software we have screened for companies which are high quality, have demonstrated consistent dividend and earnings growth and are receiving better than average earnings revisions.

The criteria used were five-year average return on equity greater than 15%, 10-year CAGR in earnings per share greater than 6%, 10-year
CAGR in dividends per share greater than 10%, and top quartile (25%) earnings revisions in the last three months.

TOP STOCK PICK

Hilton Food (HFG) 723p

Market cap: £651.6 million

Hilton Food is a high-quality supplier of meat, seafood, vegan and vegetarian foods to retail titans ranging from Tesco (TSCO) and Ahold Delhaize (AD:VIE) to Australia’s Woolworths (WOW:ASX) under long-term contracts. The business is well placed to cater to burgeoning global demand for affordable protein products.

The company has increased its dividend at a CAGR of 13% a year over the last decade and has a forecast dividend yield of 3.6%. After a ‘perfect storm’ in 2022 brought about by rising costs and consumer headwinds the business seems back on track to delivering sustained growth.

The company recently flagged progress on recovering input costs and strong top line growth from its three facilities in Australia. It also announced its entry into South-East Asia through a strategic collaboration with Country Foods, Singapore’s leading meat importer and distributor.

The deal marks another step forward in management’s plan to diversify the business across Asia and internationally. The depressed share price offers investors an opportunity to get onboard at an attractive dividend yield with potential for steady capital growth.

‹ Previous2023-03-16Next ›