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Momentum analysis by N+1 Singer flags stocks with short-term upside potential
Thursday 01 Jun 2017 Author: Steven Frazer

A handful of technology stocks, a make-up supplier, a mortgage adviser and a pharmaceutical firm are among a list of smaller company shares expected perform strongly over the coming few months.

The nine featured companies are highlights from a quantitative number-crunching exercise conducted by analysts at N+1 Singer.

The stockbroker regularly scans the lower end of the market cap spectrum for momentum-driven stock ideas using technical analysis.

The analysts periodically refresh their selections based on accelerating or decelerating share price momentum.

N+1 Singer explains that it had started to note in January a very interesting subset of stocks in the screening exercise. ‘It looks like sharply increasing and reducing price momentum could be a worthwhile differentiator of relative performance,’ the broker explains.

‘Since the last refresh the screen has significantly outperformed both the main small-cap and micro-cap indices against a background of strong and stable momentum generally.’

On a weighted basis, which gives higher value to stocks for higher market value, N+1’s screen seems to have performed impressively, beating the main small cap and micro-cap indices by 16.8% and 10.8%, the broker says.

On an unweighted basis (which treats all stocks equally regardless of market capitalisation), the outperformance was less but still significant, at 10.6% and 4.6%.

Lateysha Grace has her W7 makeup done. // The W7 bus visits the Beauty Outlet at Gretna Gateway, Gretna, Scotland. Celebrity Lateysha Grace is a special guest on the bus, helping promote the W7 brand and helping customers with their makeup. For use by Warpaint Cosmetics Ltd only. Seek permission for further uses. Photography by HARRY ATKINSON. Saturday 8th October 2016.

Summer hotshots

Of N+1’s nine selections this time round, only computer gaming event organiser Gfinity (GFIN:AIM) remains from the January list.

The data is essentially telling the broker’s analysts that more share price upside could be on the cards short-term despite the stock’s 32% rally since 10 January.

New names on the latest list include financial risk analysis software company Lombard Risk Management (LRM:AIM) and Statpro (SOG:AIM), which provides a software platform to asset managers. Both have recently issued positive news.

Digital coupons business Eagle Eye Solutions (EYE:AIM), which has former Tesco (TSCO) chief executive Terry Leahy on its board (he also owns an 8.8% stake), grabs a place on the list; so does electronic components designer Stadium (SDM:AIM).

Make-up supplier Warpaint (W7L:AIM), which only joined AIM in November 2016 at 97p, is on the list despite its shares soaring to 275p in just seven months. Loss-making biotech hopeful Faron Pharmaceuticals (FARN:AIM) joins ahead of Phase III trials for Traumakine, its acute respiratory distress syndrome treatment.

Ingredients business Treatt (TET) and property funding adviser Mortgage Advice Bureau (MAB1:AIM) complete the list of nine.

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