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Fibre networks builder in right place at right time
Thursday 01 Jun 2017 Author: Steven Frazer

A superfast broadband Britain is the aim and fibre network builder CityFibre Infrastructure (CITY:AIM) is an exciting way for investors to access the opportunity.

The AIM-quoted business builds ultra-fast fibre networks in medium-sized cities. Think Sheffield, Bristol, Glasgow and Leeds; these are a handful of the 42 locations being turned into ‘Gigabit Cities’ across the UK capable of providing local businesses and government organisations with state-of-the-art digital infrastructure.

GI CITYFIBRE 010617

It’s a risk managed model because CityFibre insists on long-term anchor tenants before committing resources, guaranteeing funding payback. This typically means a local authority or internet service provider (ISP). Once operational, service providers sell services to end users, paying CityFibre on a subscription model. If growth fails to materialise, intense capital expenditure (capex) can be ratcheted down accordingly.

Last year to 31 December 2016 was transformational, scaling the business up thanks to buying infrastructure parts of KCOM (KCOM) and Redcentric (RCN:AIM). This sparked a massive 230% jump in end users connections, or 63% in pre-acquisition organic terms. Contracted new connections jumped 206% or 58% organically, helping overall revenue increase from £6.4m to £15.4m.

Analysts value its existing fibre networks replacement value at £155m, solid asset backing for the current £177m market capitalisation. The company has £106m worth of committed future revenue over the next few years as it stands.

Funding rethink

Now Ofcom is starting to show is teeth after years of under investment in UK fibre infrastructure. For years BT’s (BT.A) Openreach has had the market largely to itself but the watchdog is demanding competition, sending a clearly encouraging signal to CityFibre.

Management are reviewing £100m of funding capacity, most at onerous interest charges. Net debt was £38.6m meaning a £7.3m interest bill last year. CityFibre will get better terms as its revenue visibility continues to improve, while the company refuses to look at equity funding due to the low valuation.

Longer-term, there also looks like a very good chance that CityFibre gets bought out, particularly with the UK’s major mobile operators all vying for Fibre network access for their own multi-play service offerings (where customers get home phone, mobile, broadband and even digital TV as a bundle).

FinnCap anticipates £24m of revenue this year, and £38m in 2018, implying this year’s £4.8m pre-tax loss will turn into a £2.1m pre-tax profit next year aided by near 90% gross profit margins. The broker has a 130p target price on the stock, while fund manager star Neil Woodford is a major stakeowner with 17.2%. (SF)


CityFibre Infrastructure (CITY:AIM) 66.5p

Stop loss: 53p

Market value: £177m

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