Fingers burned as Imperial Brands cuts dividend for first time ever

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“And another one bites the dust. Imperial Brands' decision to cut its interim and full-year dividends by a third – the first time that the tobacco giant has even failed to increase its pay-out since it was spun out of the Hanson conglomerate in 1996, let alone cut it – takes the total of FTSE 100 firms to reduce, defer, suspend or cancel cash returns to shareholders to 46, with copper miner Antofagasta also joining the list today,” says Russ Mould, AJ Bell Investment Director.

Source: Company accounts, management guidance for 2020. Financial year to September. Adjusted for rights issues of 2002 and 2008.

“Shareholders will have been hoping for support from the dividend from the sale of the cigar business for just over £1 billion before tax in April, even if the sum received was below the asset value published of just under £1.3 billion in the annual report.

“However, the warning signs had been there. Like Shell, Centrica and others before it, Imperial Brands had, on paper at least, been offering a double-digit dividend yield, a figure which looked generous in the extreme at a time when the Bank of England base rate is 0.1% and the UK Government 10-year Gilt yield is 0.24%.

“Moreover, cash flow cover for the £1.8 billion annual dividend payment had been getting progressively thinner as operating performance disappointed and the stand-in executive team of Dominic Brisby and Joerg Biebernick has decided to call time on Imperial Brands’ golden run of dividend increases. Regulatory pushback against smoking, increased public health awareness and a failure to make a major impression on the next-generation product market with its blu vapour offering all continue to pressure operating profit and therefore cash flow.

£ million 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Operating profit 1,988 2,229 2,278 2,407 2,197
Depreciation & amortisation 940 1,244 1,364 1,266 1,316
Net working capital 328 138 67 (11) 50
Capital expenditure (238) (217) (235) (327) (409)
Operating Cash Flow 3,018 3,394 3,474 3,335 3,154
           
Tax (408) (401) (570) (407) (522)
Interest (449) (540) (537) (491) (473)
Pension contribution (50) (111) (157) (60) (72)
Free Cash Flow 2,111 2,342 2,210 2,377 2,087
           
Dividend 1,259 1,386 1,528 1,676 1,844
Free Cash Flow Cover 1.68 x 1.69 x 1.45 x 1.42 x 1.13 x

Source: Company accounts. Financial year to September.

“Net debt will be another reason behind the decision to cut the shareholder payment. A total net liability of £12.2 billion, adjusting for pension assets and liabilities and assets for sale, dwarfed shareholders’ funds of £4.9 billion, for a gearing ratio of 250%.

Source: Company accounts

“Imperial’s cut, added to that of Antofagasta, is another blow for income-seekers as they look for returns on their cash at a time of rock-bottom interest rates and bond yields that are being manipulated lower by central banks.

“Imperial Brands had been the tenth-biggest dividend payer in cash terms in the FTSE 100, based on 2019 numbers. Although Antofagasta had only ranked forty-second, the miner’s view to cut its previously-announced second-half payment by 70% thanks to a Covid-19 outbreak in Chile shows that little can be taken for granted at the moment, especially as shareholders here may have been hoping that copper’s move back over the $5,000-a-ton mark will have boosted cashflow and supported the dividend.”

20 biggest dividend payers in the FTSE 100 in 2019 – last dividend announcements for 2019 or 2020, since COVID-19 crisis broke

    2019 Dividend (£ million) 2019 % of FTSE total payment 2020 ?
1 Royal Dutch Shell 11,612 15.7% Cut Q1
2 BP 6,491 8.8% Held Q1
3 British American Tobacco 4,826 6.5% Holding pay-out ratio 
4 HSBC 4,755 6.4% Passed Q1
5 GlaxoSmithKline 3,991 5.4% Held Q1
6 Rio Tinto 3,729 5.0%  
7 AstraZeneca 2,866 3.9% Paid H2 2019
8 Vodafone 2,340 3.2% Held H2 2019
9 BHP Group 2,190 3.0%  
10 Imperial Brands 1,955 2.6% Cutting 2020
11 National Grid 1,710 2.3%  
12 Unilever 1,668 2.3% Paying Q1 2020
13 Diageo 1,628 2.2% Paid H1 2020 
14 Reckitt Benckiser 1,239 1.7% Increased H2 2019
15 Anglo American 1,168 1.6% Paid H2 2019
16 Legal and General 1,048 1.4% Paying 2019 H2
17 Prudential 939 1.3% Paying 2019 H2
18 Tesco 896 1.2% Increased H2 2019
19 RELX 886 1.2% Paying 2019 H2
20 Evraz 845 1.1%  

Source: Company accounts

For more information on UK-listed companies which have cut, suspended, or deferred dividend payments, take a look at our Dividend tracker.

These articles are for information purposes only and are not a personal recommendation or advice.


The chart of the week is written by Russ Mould, AJ Bell’s Investment Director and his team.


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