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Sage of Omaha says he continues to back the US economy come what may
Thursday 02 Mar 2023 Author: Ian Conway

Investors in Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B:NYSE), the investment company led by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, will have enjoyed the latest shareholder letter almost as much as they enjoyed the firm’s outperformance last year. 

In terms of market value per share, Berkshire gained 4% in 2022 against an 18.1% fall for the S&P 500 index with reinvested dividends.

Therefore, over the last three years – which were dominated first by the global pandemic then by the invasion of Ukraine – shareholders have seen the value of their investment rise by 38% against just under 25% for the benchmark.

As usual, Buffett is magnanimous in putting this performance down to the quality of the businesses Berkshire owns rather than any ability to pick stocks.

Aside from the gains in its shareholdings, however, what really matters are Berkshire’s operating earnings and on that basis the firm
had a good year in 2022 notching up a record $30.8 billion.

These were mostly generated by its quoted holdings, which include American Express (AXP:NYSE), Apple (AAPL:NASDAQ), Bank of America (BAC:NYSE), Chevron (CVX:NYSE), Coca-Cola (KO:NYSE), HP Inc (HPQ:NYSE), Moody’s (MCO:NYSE), Occidental Petroleum (OXY:NYSE) and Paramount Global (PARA:NASDAQ).

As Buffett observes, when the firm’s ‘controlled’ holdings are added to the list, Berkshire is ‘more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other US company’.

He quips: ‘I have been investing for 80 years (and) I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America.’

In a section titled ‘The Secret Sauce’, he goes on to remind investors of the power of compounding dividends and buybacks using American Express and Coca-Cola as examples.

Berkshire finished buying both stocks in the mid-1990s, paying $1.3 billion apiece, yet its Amex stake is now worth $22 billion and its Coca-Cola stake is worth $25 billion, thanks to the discipline of reinvesting dividends and watching its shareholdings grow in size and value.

There is a swipe at the Biden administration’s dislike of share buybacks, which he says fails to discriminate between those which add value and those which destroy value.

‘When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).’

Finally, for those looking for an explanation of why the firm bought and sold the US-listed shares of semiconductor maker TSMC (TSM:NYSE), Buffett doesn’t go into specifics but says coyly ‘episodically it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices’.

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