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The company continues to beat forecasts and the shares should reflect that in time
Thursday 28 Jul 2022 Author: Steven Frazer

Darktrace (DARK)

366.5p

Loss to date: 2.3%


Enterprise cybersecurity company Darktrace (DARK), which we said to buy on 21 April 2022, continues to defy stock market Cassandras after raising full-year revenue and profit guidance for the sixth time in succession.

WHAT’S HAPPENED SINCE WE SAID TO BUY?

The Cambridge-founded business told investors that it anticipates full-year revenues to be up ‘at least’ 48% to $417 million, beating an already upgraded range of between 45.5% to 47%.

But this is not growth at any price, Darktrace is becoming increasingly profitable. Adjusted EBITDA margin (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) expanded from 12.5% to 19.5%, also beating prior expectations. Analysts predict adjusted EBITDA to more than double to $62 million after 2021’s (to 30 June) $29.7 million.

The news went down extremely well with investors following the firm’s fourth-quarter trading update on 19 July. Darktrace shares jumped more than 8% on the day.

Emerging as one of the world’s most innovative cybersecurity companies, Darktrace uses artificial intelligence and behavioural analysis to detect the early signs of a cyberattack on a network, shut the digital door, and provide technological fixes.

It added 500 new global clients to its roster in the fourth quarter, a 32% jump year-on-year, bolstering annualised recurring revenue at full-year constant currency rates to at least $513 million. 

‘We are delighted to report strong operating and financial performance for full year 2022, where we saw demand for our products continuing to grow as organisations seek to protect themselves from growing cyber threats,’ said Poppy Gustafsson, chief executive.

Gustafsson also anticipates business momentum to continue into the year to 30 June 2023.

Darktrace predicted strong revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year 2023 but did warn that sales trends exiting fiscal 2022 ‘must be balanced against the uncertainties inherent in the current global economic environment’.

WHAT SHOULD INVESTORS DO NEXT?

It’s obviously disappointing that the shares have yet to move up but we remain convinced that it is only a matter of time before the company’s outstanding progress and improving quality starts to be reflected in the share price. Still a buy.



 

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